Berlin.. British intelligence has published estimates that Russia is suffering terrible losses. But how certain is that?
If you are in the Ukraine War There is a well kept secret, it is the number of losses. It is undoubtedly high – and therefore poisonous to morale. British intelligence estimates, in its daily X update, that Russia lost an average of more than 1,000 soldiers a day in May and June alone. Remember: every day.
The English term “casualties” makes no distinction between fallen, wounded, deserted or captured soldiers. French Foreign Minister Stéphane Séjourné spoke in May about the total so far 150,000 killed Russian soldiers.
In the last two months, the British have suffered losses of 70,000. They explain themselves high blood index with the offensive in Kharkiv. And they do not expect this rate to fall.
Putin’s summer offensive comes at a price
According to the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Russian army is defining its forward direction Kharkiv continuous. Individual units entered the city center of Vovchansk across the Vovtcha River. Kharkiv is only 70 kilometers away.
Also interesting: Simply explained: Russia’s nuclear doctrine – is Putin escalating?
The chief of staff of the Ukrainian armed forces in the region, Viktor Solimchuk, believes that they want to create a “buffer zone”. Artillery attacks to start in the big city. In the Donetsk area, according to ISW, Russian forces are advancing south of Bakhmut, but also near Avdiivka.
This explains the high losses and makes it plausible to assume that they will not decrease. Because: if the troops of the Kremlin chief Vladimir Putin resistant Land gains If you want to do this, then in the summer months, definitely before autumn; before the onset of the infamous Rasputitsathe muddy period in which many roads, softened by rain, become impassable.
It is easier to document material losses
By the end of May, the British in The Losses of the Ukraine are not discussed in the West. On the other hand, Putin recently stated that the number of deaths on the Russian side was significantly lower; the relationship with Ukrainian losses one to five. This is conceivable, but contradicts all experience. Typically, the attacker assumes the greater risk.
There is real outrage at the number of deaths Information war. It is easier to record the number of equipment losses because, for example, destroyed, abandoned or captured tanks can often be identified and well documented with images.
Read too: Big mystery in the war in Ukraine: Is Putin running out of tanks?
High “New York Times“recruited Russia Up to 30,000 new soldiers every month – around that Losses to compensate. Ukraine undoubtedly has more difficulty in mobilizing fighters.
Read about it: Ukraine is running out of soldiers? Poland knows how to remedy the situation